
John Goodman, Alan Arkin, and Ben Affleck in Argo (Warner Bros. Pictures/Claire Folger)
OK, fine. So I never saw Les Misérables. I dreamed a dream in which Hollywood studios didn’t give massive budgets to overrated Oscar darlings who follow up a rather middling costume drama with an adaptation of one of the more dreadfully enduring Broadway musicals of all time. But, I digress.
I did, however, manage to see the other eight films nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture, along with enough of the films nominated in other categories to make some half-hearted guesses with just a few hours before the Oscars begin. And despite the many snubs—Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow, and Quentin Tarantino not nominated for Best Director; Rick Ross not nominated for Best Original Song; Judi Dench not nominated for Best Supporting Actress in Skyfall; John Logan, Neal Purvis, and Robert Wade not nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay; Anne Hathaway nominated for Best Supporting Actress for the wrong movie—I guess it was a pretty good year for movies.
Anyway, might as well get on with the predictions. I’ll list which nominee I believe will win, as well as which one should win. (They might be one and the same, or not.)
Best Picture:
- Will win: Argo
- Should win: Silver Linings Playbook
Best Director:
- Will win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
- Should win: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Best Actor:
- Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
- Should win: Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Best Actress:
- Will win: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
- Should win: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Jennifer Lawrence and Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings Playbook (The Weinstein Company)
Best Supporting Actor:
- Will win: Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
- Should win: Cristoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Best Supporting Actress:
- Will win: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
- Should win: Anne Hathaway, The Dark Knight Rises
- Should win (from the actual nominees): Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
Best Adapted Screenplay:
- Will win: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
- Should win: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Best Original Screenplay:
- Will win: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
- Should win: Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom
Best Animated Feature:
- Will win: Wreck-it Ralph
- Should win: Wreck-it Ralph
Best Documentary Feature:
- Will win: Searching for Sugarman
- Should win: Searching for Sugarman
Best Foreign Language Film:
- Will win: Amour
- Should win: Amour

Jessica Chastain, aka the motherfucker who found this place, in Zero Dark Thirty (Zero Dark Thirty LLC/Jonathan Olley)
Best Film Editing:
- Will win: Zero Dark Thirty
- Should win: Argo
Best Cinematography:
- Will win: Robert Richardson, Django Unchained
- Should win: Roger Deakins, Skyfall
Best Original Score:
- Will win: Mychael Danna, Life of Pi
- Should win: Mychael Danna, Life of Pi
Best Original Song:
- Will win: Adele, “Skyfall,” Skyfall
- Should win: Like it’s even a fucking contest this year?
Best Short Film, Live Action:
- Will win: Buzkashi Boys
- Should win: Curfew
Best Short Film, Animated:
- Will win: Paperman
- Should win: Paperman
Best Documentary, Short Subject:
- Will win: Inocente
- Should win: Kings Point
Best Visual Effects:
- Will win: Life of Pi
- Should win: Life of Pi
Best Sound Editing:
- Will win: Skyfall
- Should win: Skyfall
Best Sound Mixing:
- Will win: Les Misérables
- Should win: Skyfall
A quick note about sound categories: I have no damn clue what the difference between Best Sound Editing and Best Sound Mixing is, other than perhaps a power move by the sound guys’ branch of the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences to make sure two noisy films get to take home statuettes.
Best Production Design:
- Will win: Life of Pi
- Should win: Life of Pi
Best Costume Design:
- Will win: Les Misérables
- Should win: Anna Karenina
Best Makeup:
- Will win: Les Misérables
- Should win: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Also, I will probably be tweeting up a storm during the Oscars. I’ll try to say “Argo fuck yourselves” only once, and save it for a good moment. Expect lots of increasingly blotto tweets about presenters’ stupid jokes, complaints when my predictions fail, and lots and lots of nasty things about the host, Seth MacFarlane, aka the biggest doucheturd in Hollywood. (And not a very good writer, director, animator, or person. Though, OK, he’s kind of a half-decent singer.)